Probability for AI
Here is an attempt to add material on probability and statistic subjects affecting the field of Artificial Intelligence.
- Introduction slides
- The Basics and intuition on counting
- Frequentist views of probability
- Introduction to random variables
- Families of Distributions
- Discrete Distributions
- Continuous Distributions
- Exponential Families
- Location and Scale Families
- Functions of Random Variable
- Transformations
- Expectations
- Moments
- Method of Moments
- Bivariate Transformations
- Bayesian Estimation slides
- The likelihood principle, \(\ell \left( \theta \right)\).
-
General A Posteriori methods
\[P\left( \theta \vert x \right) \approx P \left( x \vert \theta \right) P\left( \theta \right)\]
- Priors and Estimation
- A Problem with subjectivity
- Priors
- Exponential Priors
- Conjugate Priors
- Local/Scale Family
- Improper Priors
- The Great Jeffrey
- Hierarchical Bayes
- The Posterior
- A Graphical View
- Plate Notation
- Why Hierarchical Models?
- Examples
- Introduction to Markov Chain Monte Carlo
- The History of the Monte Carlo
- The Basics
- Monte Carlo Integration
- Rejection Sampling
- Slice Sampler
- Importance Sampling
- Metropolis-Hasting
- Gibbs Sampler
- More Advanced Methods in Markov Chain Monte Carlo
- Bayesian Estimation
- Simulated Annealing and Beyond
- Population-Based MCMC Methods
- Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
- Rao-Blackwellisation
- Divide & Conquer strategies
- Pseudo-marginal strategies
- Theory of Point Estimation
- The main problem
- Unbiasdness Estimators
- Equivariance
- Average Risk Optimality
- Minimaxity and Admissibility
- Asymptotic Optimality
UNDER CONSTRUCTION